Will the FOMC target Federal Funds Rate upper bound be ≤ 3.50% after Dec 2026?

Federal Reserve Board official FOMC implementation directive

YES Mark Price71.5¢ (71.5%)

NO Mark Price28.5¢ (28.5%)

24h CLOB Volume3.91M PVC

Book Liquidity5.40M PVC

IMPLIED PROBABILITY TRAJECTORY (YES CONTRACT)

71.5%7150 bps · 2026-11-01

CLOB Orderbook Depth (YES)

Spread: 40 bps

ASKS (YES)SIZE (PVC)

MID MARK71.5¢

BIDS (YES)SIZE (PVC)

Recent Matched Executions

SHA-256 ATTESTED

BUY YES @ 71.5¢

desk_quant_04 · 8f434346…327aa4

1,250.00 PVC

1,748.25 sh

BUY NO @ 28.5¢

citadel_sim_09 · 2c26b46b…66e7ae

640.00 PVC

2,245.61 sh

BUY YES @ 71.2¢

wintermute_demo · 4b227777…dabf8a

2,500.00 PVC

3,513.70 sh

DETERMINISTIC ORACLE & ADJUDICATION RULES

Primary Resolution SourceFederal Reserve Board (federalreserve.gov) FOMC Statement

Oracle Attestation QuorumFRED / Federal Reserve Cryptographic Timestamp Feed

Resolves YES if the Federal Open Market Committee sets the target range upper limit for the federal funds rate at or below 3.50% at the conclusion of the December 2026 scheduled meeting.

CLOB ORDER ENTRY

Execute Contract Order

Your Active Positions (1)

YES · 781.25 sharesEntry 68.3¢

Invested: 475.00 PVCMark: 71.5¢